TIPS/DPRU Forum 2003: Programme

Programme and papers presented at the TIPS/DPRU Forum 2003.

TIPS Forum 2003 Programme

Monday 8 September 2003

09:00 - 09:30

Registration and Coffee

09:30 - 11:30

Plenary Session: The Challenge of Growth and Poverty: The South African Economy Since Democracy

11:30 - 12:00

Tea

12:00 - 13:00

A Review of South Africa's Post-1994 Industrial Performance

13:00 - 14:00

Lunch

14:00 - 15:30

Parallel Session 1

Parallel Session 1A: Social Security And Poverty Alleviation

Title: Current Debates Around The Basic Income Grant: The Social And Economic Context

Speaker: Neil Coleman (COSATU)

Discussant: Nicoli Nattrass (University of Cape Town)

Title: Can South Africa Afford To Become Africa's First Welfare State?

Speaker: James Thurlow (IFPRI)

Discussant: Erik Thorbecke (Cornell University)

Title: Zero Rating Foodstuff: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

Speaker: Marna Kearney, (Technikon Free State)

Discussant: Nick Vink (University of Stellenbosch)

Parallel Session 1B: The Restructuring And Privatisation Experience In South Africa

Title: The Restructuring of State Owned Enterprises: Does it Pay?

Speaker: Simangele Sekgobla (IDC)

Discussant: Richard Goode (Deparment oft Public Enterprises)

Title: Public-Private Participation In The Privatisation Of Water Services: The Case Of Nelspruit

Speaker: Ameina Bayat And Zunaid Moolla (University Of The Western Cape)

Discussant: Mark Pickering (Palmer Development)

Title: Privatisation And Restructuring Of State Assets In South Africa: Lessons From African Privatisation Experiences

Speaker: Afeikhena Jerome, Moses Rangata (NIEP)

Discussant: Merle Holden (University of Natal)

15:30 - 16:00

Tea

16:00 - 17:30

Parallel Session 2

Parallel Session 2a - Poverty Alleviation Interventions

Title: An Overview of the Performance and Potential of Public WorksProgrmmes in South Africa

Speaker: Anna McCord and Jacqui Goldin (University of Cape Town)

Discussant: Sten Dieden (University of Gothen burg)

Title: Jobless or Job Creating Growth? Some Preliminary Thoughts

Speaker: Miriam Altman (HSRC)

Discussant: Imraan Valodia (University of Natal)

Parallel Session 2b - The Restructuring And Privatisation Experience In South Africa

Title: Universal Access Policy In South Africa

Speaker: James Hodge (University Of Cape Town)

Discussant: J. Riley Allen (Independent Consultant)

Title: "Saving government from itself": Trade Union Engagement with the Restructuring of Spoornet

Speaker: Karl von Holdt (NALEDI)

Title: Fast-Tracking Telecommunications Reform In Southern Africa

Speaker: J. Riley Allen (Independent Consultant)

Discussant: Alison Gilwald (LINK Centre)

19:00 - 21:00

Evening Gala Dinner: Trevor Manuel (Minister of Finance)

Tuesday 9 September 2003

09:00 - 10:30

Paralell Session 3

Parallel Session 3a - Poverty And Inequality Trends

Title: Income Source Selection Among South Africa's Poor: Household Characteristics And Integration Into The Core Economy

Speaker: Sten Dieden (University Gothenburg )

Discussant: Laura Poswell (DPRU)

Title: An Attempt To Track Poverty Using The 1995 And 1999 Household Survey

Speaker: Rosa Dias And Charles Meth (University Of Natal)

Discussant: David Fryer (Rhodes UNiversity)

Title: Social Security, Economic Growth And Poverty In South Africa

Speaker: Ingrid Woolard (HSRC)

Discussant: Frikkie le R. Booysen (UOFS)

Parallel Session 3b - Regulation And Competition Policy

Title: The Role For Competition Policy In Economic Development? The Effects Of Competition Policy In South Africa, And Selected Interna

Speaker: Simon Roberts (Wits University)

Discussant: David Lewis (Competition Tribunal)

Title: Rules And Discretion In Competition Policy

Speaker: James Fairburn (University Of Natal)

Discussant: Geoff Parr (Competition Commission)

Title: Regulated Prices: Is The Process Right? An Analysis Of Administered Prices In South Africa

Speaker: David Storer (Adam Smith Institute)

Discussant: Chris Gadsden (National Treasury)

10:30 - 11:00

Tea

11:00 - 12:30

Parallel Session 4

Parallell Session 4a - Poverty And Inequality Trends

Title: Deep Cuts? Social Service Deliery under GEAR

Speaker: Albert Van Zyl And Carlene Van Der Westhuisen (University Of Stellenbosch And Idasa)

Discussant: Kathy Nicolau (National Treasury)

Title: Emergent Black Affluence And Social Mobility

Speaker: Rulof Burger, Ronelle Burger And Servaas Van Der Berg (University Of Stellenbosch)

Discussant: Ingrid Woolard (HSRC)

Parallel Session 4b - Sectoral Contribution to Development

Title: The influence of Policy on the roles of agriculture in South Africa

Speaker: Nick Vink (University of Stellenbosch)

Discussant: Mike de Klerk (HSRC)

Title: Sector Strategies for Employment Creation: Construction, Social Services and Food

Speaker: Miriam Altman and Marina Meyer (HSRC)

Discussant: Dave Kaplan (University of Cape Town)

Title: Industrial Policy in Developing Economies: Developing Dynamic Comparative Advantage in the SA Auto Sector

Speaker: Mike Morris, Raphe Kaplinsky and Jutin Barnes (UND, University of Sussex )

Discussant: Frank Flatters (Queens University)

12:30 - 13:30

Lunch

13:30 - 15:00

Parallel Session 5

Parallel Session 5a -Understanding Labour Demand Trends

Title: Co-Ordination Failure And Employment In South Africa

Speaker: David Fryer And Desire Vencatachellum (Rhodes University And Universite de Montreal)

Discussant: Johannes Fedderke (Wits University)

Title: The Constraints To Growth And Employment: Evidence From A Survey Of Manufacturing Firms In Durban

Speaker: Richard Devey, Bala Rajaratnan, Imraan Valodia, Myriam Velia (University of Natal Durban, and The World Bank)

Discussant: Miriam Altman (HSRC)

Title: Sorry, Wrong Number!: A Critical Analysis of Informal Economy Employment Data in Suth Africa

Speaker: Richard Deevey, Caroline Skinner, and Imraan Valodia (University of Natal)

Discussant: Ronelle Burger (University of Stellenbosch)

Parallel Session 5b - Regulatory Frameworks

Title: Overview of Regulatory Frameworks

Speaker: EthÃƒÂ¨l Teljeur (Independent Consultant)

Title: Review Of Telecommunications Regulation In South Africa

Speaker: Alison Gillwald (Link Centre)

Discussant: James Hodge (University of Cape Town)

Title: Economic Regulation Of Selected Transport Modes

Speaker: EthÃƒÂ¨l Teljeur (Independent Consultant)

Discussant: Lulu Dikweni (Department of Transport)

15:00 - 15:30

Tea

15:30 - 17:00

Parallel Session 6

Parallel Session 6a - HIV/Aids

Title: Unemployment And Aids: The Social-Democratic Challenge For South Africa

Speaker: Nicoli Nattrass (University Of Cape Town)

Discussant: Hilary Southall (HSRC)

Title: The Impact of HIV/AIDS on the SA Economy: A Review of Current Evidence

Speaker: Frikkie Le R. Booysen, JP Geldenhuys and M Marinkov (University Of The Free State)

Discussant: Charles Meth (University of Natal)

Title: The Relationship Between Labour Market Dynamics And Hiv/Aids Prevalence: A Literature Review

Speaker: Ms. Jocelyn Vass (HSRC)

Discussant: Jacqui Goldin (University of Cape Town)

Parallel Session 6b - Capital Markets

Title: Reducing Debt Costs To Support Growth And Investment In South Africa: The Currency Premium And Local Currency Denominated Debt Costs In South Africa

Speaker: Martin Grandes, Marcel Peter And Nicolas Pinaud Delta (Ehess/Ens, Paris), Hei Geneva And Swiss National Bank, OECD Development Centre)

Discussant: Rob Davies (University of Zimbabwe)

Title: Capital Inflows Since The End Of Apartheid And The 2001 Currency Crisis

Speaker: Seeraj Mohammed University Of Massachussetts

Discussant: Greg Farrel (SARB)

Title: Features And Challenges Of The Post-Democratic Financial Sector

Speaker: Penelope Hawkins (Feasibility)

Discussant: Stephan Malherbe (Genesis-Analytics)

Wednesday 10 September 2003

09:00 - 10:30

Parallel Session 7

Parallel Session 7a - Economic Distribution and Employment

Title: An Evaluation Of The Influence Of Bee On The Application Of Competition Policy In South Africa

Speaker: Neo Chabane (Wits University)

Discussant: Saul Levin (DTI)

Title: The Changing ICT Sector in the SA Economy

Speaker: Esther Netshivhongweni (ISETT)

Discussant: Simangele Sekgobela (IDC)

Title: Household Income Distribution In The October Household Surveys 1994 - 1999

Speaker: Johannes Fedderke, Jeenesh Manga And Farah Pirouz (Wits University)

Discussant: Morne Oosthuizen (DPRU)

Parallel Session 7b - Productivity And Growth

Title: Macroeconomic Fluctuations And Structural Change In The South African Economy: Pre And Post Independence Experience

Speaker: Thandinkosi Ndlela And Peter Nkala Reserve Bank Of Zimbabwe/Nust

Discussant: Stephen Yeo (Bannock Consuting)

Title: A Gap and Macro Decomposition Analysis for South Africa, 1993-2002

Speaker: Rob Davies (University of Zimbabwe) & Dirk Ernst van Seventer (TIPS)

Discussant: Reniva Fourie (DTI)

Title: The Relationship Between Savings And Growth In South Africa: An Empirical Study

Speaker: Aylit Romm )Wits University)

Discussant: Seeraj Mohamed (University of Massachusetts)

10:30 - 11:00

Tea

11:00 - 13:00

Final Plenary Session

Chair: Rashad Cassim (Wits University)

Accelerating Growth With Poverty Reduction
Al Berry (University of Toronto)

Panel Discussion - Debating the Challenges of the Next Decade

Paul Jourdan (Mintek)
Rohinton Medhora (IDRC)
Neva Makgetla (COSATU)
Goolam Aboobaker (The Presidency)

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