TIPS/DPRU Forum 2004: Programme

Programme and papers presented at the TIPS/DPRU Forum 2004.

TIPS Forum 2004 Programme

Wednesday 13 October 2004

10:00 - 12:00

Registration

12:00 - 13:00

Lunch

13:00 - 13:30

Opening Address

13:30 - 15:00

Plenary Session: Strategies for "pro-poor growth" – pro-poor, pro-growth or both?

15:00 - 15:30

Tea

15:30 - 17:00

Parallel Session 1

Parallel Session 1A: Challenges to Improved Health in Africa

Title: The determinants of HIV related knowledge and behaviors

Speaker: Peter Glick & David E. Sahn, Cornell University

Discussant: Sandra Freire, Université Paris

Title: Infant mortality in Uganda: determinants, trends and the millennium development goals

Speaker: Sarah Ssewanyana, Economic Policy Research Centre & Stephen Younger, Cornell University

Discussant: Kym Anderson, World Bank, Centre for Economic & Policy Research and University of Adelaide

Title: Are wealthier nations healthier nations? A panel data approach to the determination of human development in Africa

Speaker: Issidor Noumba, University of Yaoundé II

Discussant: David Lam, University of Manchester

Parallel Session 1B: Growth and Poverty Linkages

Title: Modelling pro-poor agricultural growth strategies in Malawi: lessons for policy and analysis.

Speaker: Andrew Dorward, Jamie Morrison, Peter Wobst, Hans Lofgren & Hardwick Tchale

Discussant: Hildegunn Stokke, Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Title: Growth and redistribution effects of poverty changes in Cameroon

Speaker: Francis Baye, University of Yaoundé II

Discussant: Thierry Latrielle Agence française de Développement

Title: Macroeconomic growth, sectorial quality of growth and poverty in developing countries: Measure and application to Burkina Faso

Speaker: Boccanfuso Dorothée, Université de Sherbrooke & Tambi Samuel Kabore, Université de Ouagadougou

Discussant: Muqtada Mohamed, International Labour Organisation, Geneva

Parallel Session 1C: Macroeconomic Policy and Economic Growth in South Africa

Title: Budget reform as a means to strengthen the link between macro and micro policies

Speaker: Taz Chaponda, Neil Cole & Mickie Schoch, National Treasury

Discussant: Elias Ayuk, International Development Research Centre

Title: Inequality in South Africa: Nature, Causes and Responses

Speaker: Stephen Gelb, The Edge institute

Discussant: Geeta Kingdon, Oxford University

Title: How responsive is capital formation to its user cost?

Speaker: Stephen F. Koch, University of Pretoria & Albert de Wet, National Treasury

17:00 - 18:00

The KwaZulu-Natal Income Dynamics (KIDS) Panel – An Assessment

Thursday 14 October 2004

09:00 - 10:30

Parallel Session 2

Parallel Session 2A: Export Promotion in Africa

Title: Export processing zone expansion in Madagascar: what are the labour market impacts

Speaker: Peter Glick, Cornell University & Francois Roubard, Développement et Insertion Internationale

Discussant: Basil Jones, International Development Research Centre

Title: Exporting from manufacturing firms in Sub-Saharan Africa: Micro evidence for macro outcomes

Speaker: Neil Rankin, Måns Söderbom & Francis Teal, Oxford University

Discussant: Vusi Gumede, Office of the Presidency, SA

Parallel Session 2B: Growth and Poverty Linkages

Title: The Road to Pro-Poor Growth in Zambia

Speaker: James Thurlow & Peter Wobst, International Food Policy Research Institute

Discussant: Tom Hertz, American University

Title: The Missing Links Uganda's Economic Reforms and Pro-Poor Growth

Speaker: Robert Kappel, University of Leipzig & Susan Steiner, Institute of African Affairs

Discussant: Sarah SSewanyana, Economic Policy Research Centre

Title: Economic Growth without Poverty Reduction: Identifying the Missing Links in Tanzania during Economic Reform

Speaker: Anders Danielson, Lund University

Discussant: Andrew Dorward, Imperial College London

Parallel Session 2C: Savings and Credit Markets in South Africa

Title: Financial Services and the informal economy

Speaker: Cally Ardington & Murray Leibbrandt, University of Cape Town

Discussant: James Hodge, University of Cape Town

Title: Impact of HIV/AIDS on saving behaviour in South Africa

Speaker: Sandra Freire, Université Paris

Discussant: Issidor Noumba, University of Yaounde II

10:30 - 11:00

Tea

11:00 - 12:30

Parallel Session 3

Parallel Session 3A: Challenges to Small Business Development

Title: Small Business Entrepreneurship in Dar es salaam -Tanzania:Exploring Problems and Prospects for Future Development

Speaker: Rashid M. Mfaume & Wilhelm Leonard, Mzumbe University

Title: An Integrated Policy Framework for Improving Small Firms' Financing in Tanzania

Speaker: Tadeo Andrew Satta, University of Manchester

Parallel Session 3B: Constraints on Competitiveness for Agricultural Products

Title: Agricultural Sector Investment and the Role of Public-Private Partnership

Speaker: David J Spielman, International Food Policy Research Institute

Discussant: Terry Roe, University of Minnesota

Title: Prospects and Challenges of Agricultural Technology Market Linkage under Liberalization in Ghana: Evidence from a micro-data

Speaker: Tsegaye Yilma Dessalegn, Ernst Berg & Thomas Berger, University of Bonn

Discussant: D K Grover, Punjab Agricultural University

Title: Missed opportunities and missing markets: Spatio-temporal arbitrage of rice in Madagascar

Speaker: Cristine Moser & Bart Minten, Cornell University

Discussant: Channing Arndt, Purdue University

Parallel Session 3C: Impact of Trade Reform and Industrial Policy

Title: Macro-Micro linkages in trade: Does trade liberalization lead to improved productivity in South African manufacturing firms

Speaker: Imraan Valodia & Myriam Velia, University of KwaZulu-Natal

Discussant: Trevor Bell, University of KwaZulu-Natal

Title: Trade and poverty mainstreaming: Practical approaches for policy makers and donors

Speaker: Helena McLeod, Department for International Development, SA

Discussant: Ravi Kanbur, Cornell University

Title: Industrial Strategy and local economic development: manufacturing policy and technological capabilities in Ekurhulen

Speaker: Thandi Phele, Simon Roberts & Ian Steuart, University of the Witwatersrand

Discussant: Lael Bethlehem, City of Johannesburg

12:30 - 13:00

Lunch

13:30 - 15:00

Parallel Session 4

Parallel Session 4A: Challenges to Poverty Alleviation in Subsistence Agriculture

Title: Analysis of farmers' preferences for development intervention programs: A case study of subsistence farmers from Eastern Ethiopian Highlands

Speaker: Wagayehu Bekele, Alemaya University

Discussant: Nick Vink, University of Stellenbosch

Title: Alleviating rural poverty through efficient small holders farming systems in Ethiopia: Relevance of macro policies with ground realities

Speaker: DK Grover & Anteneh Temesgen, Punjab Agricultural University

Discussant: Mike de Klerk Human Sciences Research Council

Title: nfrastructure privatisation and poverty reduction in Africa

Speaker: Afeikhena Jerome, National Institute for Economic Policy

Discussant: Anna McCord, University of Cape Town

Parallel Session 4B: Institutions and Social Capital

Title: Institutional framework, interest rate policy and the Nigerian manufacturing sub-sector

Speaker: Babasanmi Babatope-Obasa & Michael Adebayo, National University of Lesetho Adebiyi, University of Lagos

Discussant: Tsegaye Yilma Dessalegn, University of Bonn

Title: Multilateral Organisations: Instruments for Donors' Foreign Policy?

Speaker: Espen Villanger, Christian Michelsen Institute

Discussant: Neal P. Cohen, The United States Agency for International Development

Title: Ethnicity and governance in Africa : Challenging the consensus

Speaker: Melvin Ayogu, University of Cape Town

Discussant: Alan Hirsch, Office of the Presidency, SA

Parallel Session 4C: Wages and Employment: Discrete Labour Market Issues

Title: Labour migration and households: a reconsideration of the effects of the social pension on labour supply in South Africa

Speaker: Dorrit Posel, James Fairburn & Frances Lund, University of KwaZulu-Natal

Discussant: Gabriel Tati, University of Swaziland

Title: Two million net new jobs: A reconsideration of the rise in employment in South Africa, 1995 2003

Speaker: Daniela Casale, Colette Muller & Dorrit Posel, University of KwaZulu-Natal

Discussant: Sean Archer, University of Cape Town

Title: The Post-Apartheid South African Labour Market

Speaker: Morné Oosthuizen & Haroon Bhorat, Development Policy Research Unit, University of Cape Town

Discussant: Louise Fox, World Bank

15:30 - 17:00

Parallel Session 5

Parallel Session 5A: Approaches to Understanding Poverty in Africa

Title: Estimating Utility Consistent Poverty Lines

Speaker: Channing Arndt

Discussant: Dorrit Posel, University of KwaZulu-Natal

Title: Macroeconometric analysis of growth, unemployment and poverty in Nigeria

Speaker: Tokunbo Simbowale Osinubi, University of Ibadan

Discussant: Neil Rankin, University of Oxford

Title: The conjuncture of poverty microsimulation linked to a macroeconomic forecasting model: An application to Senegal

Speaker: Thierry Latreille, Agence française de Développement

Discussant: David Spielman, International Food Policy Research Institute

Parallel Session 5B: Trade, Technology and Growth in Africa

Title: Swaziland: In the pursuit of economic liberalization and growth. How poverty is reproduced at the micro-level under changing labour market regimes?

Speaker: Gabriel Tati, University of Swaziland

Discussant: Helena McLeod, Department for International Development, SA

Title: The global market place: How far can Nigeria go with the present non-oil product mix?

Speaker: Rosemary N. Okoh, National Centre for Economic Management and Administration

Discussant: Rolf Larsson, Lund University

Parallel Session 5C: Micro-effects of Macro Reform

Title: The Economy-wide impacts of the labour intensification of infrastructure expenditure

Speaker: Anna McCord, University of Cape Town & Dirk van Seventer, Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies

Discussant: Miriam Altman, Human Sciences Research Council

Title: South African Trade Reform since Democracy

Speaker: Rashad Cassim, University of the Witwatersrand & Dirk van Seventer, Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies

Discussant: Lawrence Edwards, University of Cape Town

Friday 15 October 2004

09:00 - 11:00

Final Plenary Session: The World Bank's New Policy on Development Policy Lending: A Constructive Critique

Panel Discussion - Chair: Haroon Bhorat, University of Cape Town

11:00 - 11:30

Tea

11:30 - 13:00

Parallel Session 6

Parallel Session 6A: Poverty, Inequality and Labour Markets in Africa

Title: Youth labour markets in Africa

Speaker: Cecil Mlatshni, University of Cape Town

Discussant: Sten Dieden, Göteborg University

Title: Geography as Destiny: Considering the spatial dimensions of poverty and deprivation in South Africa

Speaker: Ronelle Burger, Servaas van der Berg, Sarel van der Walt & Derek Yu, University of Stellenbosch

Discussant: James Thurlow, International Food Policy Research Institute

Parallel Session 6B: Rural Livelihood Strategies

Title: The Demand for education for orphans in Zimbabwe

Speaker: Craig Gundersen, Iowa State University, Thomas Kelly, Economic Consultant, Kyle Jemison, Catholic Relief Services

Title: Agricultural Policy, technology and food security in the African maize sector

Speaker: Göran Djurfeldt & Rolf Larsson, Lund University

Discussant: John Page, World Bank

Title: Implications of Genetically Modified Food Technology Policies for Sub-Saharan Africa

Speaker: Kym Anderson, World Bank, Centre for Economic and University of Adelaide & Lee Ann Jackson, WTO Secretariat

Discussant: Bart Minten, Cornell University

Parallel Session 6C: Unemployment Dynamics in South Africa

Title: The mystery of South Africa’s ghost workers in 1996: measurement and mismeasurement in the manufacturing census, population census and October Household Surveys

Speaker: Martin Wittenberg, University of Cape Town

Discussant: Charles Meth, University of KwaZulu-Natal

Title: The dynamics of job search and the microfoundations of unemployment: Evidence from Duncan village

Speaker: David Fryer, Rhodes University

Discussant: Daniela Casale, University of KwaZulu-Natal

Title: The effects of minimum wage regulations on the incomes of South African domestic service workers

Speaker: Tom Hertz, American University

Discussant: Stephen Younger, Cornell University

13:00 - 14:00

Lunch

14:00 - 15:30

Parallel Session 7

Parallel Session 7A: Well-Being and Poverty

Title: Well-Being poverty versus income poverty and capabilities poverty in South Africa?

Speaker: Geeta Kingdon & John Knight, Oxford University

Discussant: Murray Leibbrandt, University of Cape Town

Title: Community, comparisons and subjective well-being in a divided society

Speaker: Geeta Kingdon & John Knight, Oxford University

Discussant: David Fryer, Rhodes University

Title: Households and labour market status in South Africa

Speaker: Farah Pirouz, University of the Witwatersrand

Discussant: Peter Glick, Cornell University

Parallel Session 7B: Trade and Financial Flows

Title: Trade liberalisation and factor returns in South Africa, 1988-2002

Speaker: Lawrence Edwards, University of Cape Town

Discussant: Rob Davies, University of Zimbabwe

Title: Capital Flight from South Africa, 1980 to 2000

Speaker: Seeraj Mohammed & Kade Finnoff, University of Massachusetts

Discussant: Nick Segal, University of Cape Town

Title: Trade liberalisation and regional integration in SADC: policy synergies assessed in an industrial organisation framework

Speaker: Martine Visser, University of Cape Town & Trudi Hartzenberg, tralac

Discussant: Regine Qualmann, Trade Policy Adviser at SADC Secretariat

Parallel Session 7C: Financing and Development

Title: Foreign aid and population growth: evidence from Africa

Speaker: Leonid Azarnert, Tel-Aviv University

Discussant: Anders Danielson, Lund University

Title: Credit Demand and Credit Rationing in the Informal Financial Sector in Uganda

Speaker: Nathan Okurut, Andrie Schoombee, Rhodes University & Servaas van der Berg, University of Stellenbosch

Discussant: Stephen Koch, University of Pretoria

Title: Financial Intermediation and Access to Finance in African Countries South of the Sahara

Speaker: Neren Rau, South African Reserve Bank

Discussant: Rashad Cassim, University of the Witwatersrand

15:30 - 16:00

Conference Closure

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