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Global efforts to mitigate climate change are ramping up, with a rising numbers of countries, companies and financiers taking action to tackle climate change. At the same time, climate changes, such as temperature and weather changes, are increasing, with dramatic impacts on populations. These are having material impacts on the economy and society. In the short term, dealing with this transition has materialised primarily in a focus on the decarbonisation of the energy systems. In the medium to long term, this will extend to virtually all sectors and segments of society.

In this context, the just transition agenda has taken centre stage. It aims to lower the risks faced by the most affected and vulnerable stakeholders, such as working people, small businesses and low-income communities, while providing an opportunity to maximise the development of new opportunities and redress historical injustices.

Establishing a credible fact base is paramount for designing and implementing an evidence-based just transition. To allow easy access to a growing body of work on just transition, TIPS has curated relevant content into an open knowledge portal. This provides short summaries as well as key findings and recommendations from a diversity of reports, strategies, videos and podcasts. The knowledge portal focuses on South Africa but will be extended to other areas in the future.

The portal is a living initiative. Should you know of additional resources which could be added or spot any errors, please contact Lerato Monaisa at lerato@tips.org.za

Featured material

Just transitions and the green economy - navigating the fault lines

SUMMARY: The paper frames the Just Transition from a moral and business perspective. It assesses how much responsibility companies and organisations should have for the impact their clients have on

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National employment vulnerability assessment: analysis of potential climate change-related impacts and vulnerable groups

SUMMARY: The report provides a detailed analysis of the capacity of vulnerable communities, workers and businesses to adjust to climate change-related impacts in the coal, metals, transport-based petroleum, agricultural value

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Down to zero: The politics of Just Transition

SUMMARY: This book looks at the anticipated impact of climate change and the experiences of millions of people who are facing a climate disaster, focusing on Southern and South Africa.

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Unlocking a just energy transition for SA

SUMMARY: Professor Mark Swilling discusses the global renewable energy revolution, the public sector’s role in investment in renewables and how renewable energy has the potential to change social politics and

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Understanding the impact of a low-carbon transition on South Africa

  • Institution / Author: Climate Policy Initiative [Huxham, M., Anwar, M., Nelson, D.]
  • Year: 2019
  • Sectoral focus: Coal, Economy-wide, Electricity, Energy, Liquid fuels, Mining
  • Thematic focus: Finance, Project identification / promotion, Risk / vulnerability assessment
  • Type of analysis: Desktop research, Modelling, Stakeholder engagement
  • Type of document: Research report

SUMMARY: The report examines the risks associated with a transition towards a low-carbon economy for South Africa’s government, municipalities, companies and financial institutions. The analysis not only quantifies the risks of South Africa’s transition but tries to forecast some potential benefits. The report also outlines the measures that South Africa and its partners can take to reduce climate-transition risk and avoid potential economy-damaging risk concentrations, and in so doing reduce the costs associated with the decarbonisation of the South African economy.

KEY FINDING / RECOMMENDATIONS: Several significant findings emerge, et al, the cumulative impact of a global low-carbon transition between 2013 and 2035 could be more than $120 billion in present value terms; 75% of the risk and potential impact is due to factors, policies, and events, beyond the control of the South African government; but South Africa can still mitigate much of the climate-change risk if it urgently develops the fiscal, financial and policy tools required to shift transition risk away from parties without the capacity to bear it and to capture transition-related upside.

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