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14 April 2007
WTO forecasts trade growth slowdown in 2007
www.chinaview.cn - 13 April 2007
GENEVA, April 12 (Xinhua) -- World trade is expected to grow slower in 2007 given the prospect of weaker economic expansion in the coming year, the World Trade Organization (WTO) said on Thursday.The global trade growth could slow down to 6 percent from 8 percent last year as world economic growth is expected to slip to 3 percent from last year's 3.7 percent, the WTO said in a report on trade in 2006 and prospects for 2007.
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TIPS In the News
- Year 2003
- Organisation Cornell University
- Author(s) Peter Glick; David E. Sahn
- Countries and Regions South Africa
15 June 2004
Modelling Pro-Poor Agricultural Growth Strategies in Malawi: Lessons for Policy and Analysis
This paper pulls together insights from related farm-household and CGE modelling for Malawi to suggest wider methodological and policy lessons for pro-poor policy analysis in poor agrarian economies. The farm-household and CGE models and the principal results are summarised, and their strengths and weaknesses discussed. The discussion demonstrates the potential…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Andrew Dorward, Jamie Morrison, Peter Wobst, Hans Lofgren and Hardwick Tchale
- Countries and Regions Malawi
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Taz Chaponda, Neil Cole and Mickie Schoch
Unusually for an African economy, Uganda's growth has been rapid and sustained for an extended period of time. Further, this growth has clearly translated into substantial declines in poverty for all socio-economic groups and in all regions of the country. Despite this, there is concern in the country that other…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Sarah Ssewanyana and Stephen D. Younger
This paper (1) develops an exact decomposition framework based on the Shapley Value in cooperative game theory, and (2) investigates the growth and redistribution effects of changes in poverty using Cameroon's household surveys. By all the P class of measures, poverty increased significantly between 1984 and 1996. The growth components…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Francis Baye
This paper examines the nature of the divide which Mbeki pointed to between the two nations and the reasons for the limited response to this divide during the post-apartheid era since 1994 at which he hints. This paper argues that this response can be understood only through an historical analysis…
- Year 2004
- Organisation The Edge Institute
- Author(s) Stephen Gelb
- Countries and Regions South Africa
15 June 2004
Are Wealthier Nations Healthier Nations? A Panel Data Approach to the Determination of Human Development in Africa
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Issidor Noumba
- Countries and Regions South Africa
Economic growth generally refers to GDP growth. The studies on the link between growth and poverty dynamic (Datt and Ravallion, 1992; Kakwani, 1997; Shorrocks, 1999) measure growth by mean household per capita expenditures. Furthermore, many countries experience at the same time economic growth and growing poverty. It is therefore important…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Dorothee Boccanfuso and Tambi Samuel Kabore
The responsiveness of business investment spending to price changes is central in economic analysis. Despite the key role played by the user cost of capital in economic analysis, there is less supporting evidence for the existence of a substantial user cost elasticity. This study investigates the empirical user cost of…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Albert de Wet and Steven F. Koch
- Countries and Regions South Africa
16 April 2007
Export processing zone expansion in an African country: What are the labour market and gender impacts?
This study seeks to understand the labor market (employment and earnings) and gender impacts of the dramatic recent expansion of the export processing zone (the Zone Franche) in urban Madagascar. It is distinguished from most earlier empirical analysis of this subject by its use of micro data collected annually over…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Peter Glick; Francois Roubard
- Countries and Regions Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (Comesa)
15 June 2004
The Road to Pro-Poor Growth in Zambia
We thank the Department for International Development (DFID) for funding this research and for providing technical and logistical support during the project. We are grateful to Neil McCulloch from the Institute for Development Studies (IDS) at the University of Sussex for the providing us with the cleaned household surveys that…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) James Thurlow;Peter Wobst
- Countries and Regions Zambia
15 June 2004
Financial Services and the Informal Economy
This paper examines the impact of formality of employment on the utilisation of financial services, using data from the October 2000 Income and Expenditure Survey and the September 2000 Labour Force Survey. The presence of an employed member in the household is seen to be important for the utilisation of…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Cally Ardington and Murray Leibbrandt
This article illustrates changing growth regimes in Uganda from pro-poor growth in the 1990s to growth without poverty reduction, actually even a slight increase in poverty, after 2000. Not surprisingly, we find that good agricultural performance is the key determinant of direct pro-poor growth in the 1990s as well as…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Robert Kappel, Jann Lay and Susan Steiner
- Countries and Regions Southern African Development Community (SADC)
The models measuring the macroeconomic impact of HIV/AIDS are heterogeneous : each one relies on a specific theoretical background. Nevertheless, there are, at least, three main common limits to those approaches : the authors concentrate on the impact on the labour market ; they neglect the potential implications on the…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Sandra Freire
15 June 2004
Exporting from Manufacturing Firms in Sub-Saharan Africa: Micro Evidence for Macro Outcomes
The poor performance of many African economies has been associated with low growth of exports in general and of manufacturing exports in particular. In this paper we draw on micro evidence of manufacturing firms in five African countries - Kenya, Ghana, Tanzania, South Africa and Nigeria - to investigate the…
- Year 2004
- Organisation Centre for the Study of African EconomiesDepartment of EconomicsUniversity of Oxford
- Author(s) Neil Rankin, Mans Soderbom and Francis Teal
- Countries and Regions Southern African Development Community (SADC)
15 June 2004
Economic Growth without Poverty Reduction: Identifying the Missing Links in Tanzania during Economic Reform
Studying the relation between economic growth and income poverty reduction without taking changes in the distribution of income into consideration is like setting up Othello without Iago in the play. Without any further references to Shakespeare, this paper examines the relations between poverty levels, economic growth and changes in inequality…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Anders Danielson
- Countries and Regions Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (Comesa)
This paper provides a broad overview of the labor force activity of older workers in South Africa. We begin the paper with a discussion of important features of the social and economic environment that provide a background for the analysis. Drawing on excellent microdata, we then analyze the age profile…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) David Lam; Murray Leibbrandt; Vimal Ranchhod
- Countries and Regions South Africa
15 June 2004
Small Business Entrepreneurship in Dar es salaam - Tanzania: Exploring Problems and Prospects for Future Development
Small Business Entrepreneurship haves been seen as a hub in generating income for the majority of urban dwellers with no formal paid employment. In Tanzania, entry into small business entrepreneurship is usually not seen as a problem. One can start small business at any time and in any place. However,…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) Rashid M. Mfaume and Wilhelm Leonard
- Countries and Regions Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (Comesa)
Agricultural research and development (R&D) is critical to the improvement of incomes and livelihoods in sub-Saharan Africa. However, several studies on agricultural R&D suggest that many countries in the region are unable to bring public and private sector assets and resources together as a means of advancing agricultural R&D. This…
- Year 2004
- Author(s) David J Spielman
- Countries and Regions Southern African Development Community (SADC)