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Global efforts to mitigate climate change are ramping up, with a rising numbers of countries, companies and financiers taking action to tackle climate change. At the same time, climate changes, such as temperature and weather changes, are increasing, with dramatic impacts on populations. These are having material impacts on the economy and society. In the short term, dealing with this transition has materialised primarily in a focus on the decarbonisation of the energy systems. In the medium to long term, this will extend to virtually all sectors and segments of society.

In this context, the just transition agenda has taken centre stage. It aims to lower the risks faced by the most affected and vulnerable stakeholders, such as working people, small businesses and low-income communities, while providing an opportunity to maximise the development of new opportunities and redress historical injustices.

Establishing a credible fact base is paramount for designing and implementing an evidence-based just transition. To allow easy access to a growing body of work on just transition, TIPS has curated relevant content into an open knowledge portal. This provides short summaries as well as key findings and recommendations from a diversity of reports, strategies, videos and podcasts. The knowledge portal focuses on South Africa but will be extended to other areas in the future.

The portal is a living initiative. Should you know of additional resources which could be added or spot any errors, please contact Lerato Monaisa at lerato@tips.org.za

Featured material

Just transitions and the green economy - navigating the fault lines

SUMMARY: The paper frames the Just Transition from a moral and business perspective. It assesses how much responsibility companies and organisations should have for the impact their clients have on

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National employment vulnerability assessment: analysis of potential climate change-related impacts and vulnerable groups

SUMMARY: The report provides a detailed analysis of the capacity of vulnerable communities, workers and businesses to adjust to climate change-related impacts in the coal, metals, transport-based petroleum, agricultural value

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Down to zero: The politics of Just Transition

SUMMARY: This book looks at the anticipated impact of climate change and the experiences of millions of people who are facing a climate disaster, focusing on Southern and South Africa.

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Unlocking a just energy transition for SA

SUMMARY: Professor Mark Swilling discusses the global renewable energy revolution, the public sector’s role in investment in renewables and how renewable energy has the potential to change social politics and

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What does “peak coal” mean for international coal exporters?

  • Institution / Author: The Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI), and Climate Strategies [Holz, F., Kafemann, I. V., Sartor, O., Scherwath, T., Spencer, T.]
  • Year: 2018
  • Sectoral focus: Coal, Energy
  • Thematic focus: Policy interventions / recommendations, Risk / vulnerability assessment
  • Type of analysis: Desktop research, Modelling
  • Type of document: Research report

SUMMARY: The future of coal is uncertain. The paper analyses the factors driving the fall in demand for thermal coal, presents scenarios on the global coal consumption for 2010-2050, as well as the potential impacts of declining global demand scenarios on major coal producers, consumers and investment. The scenarios on which the paper builds are based, on top-down information on global and regional energy system development, as well as on bottom-up national energy sector information made available to the project team.

KEY FINDING / RECOMMENDATIONS: Even without more stringent climate policy, the balance of risks and opportunities for the global coal market appears significantly on the downside. Factors such as the decreasing energy intensity of “late mover” developing countries’ growth pathways, local air pollution and technological advances reflected in the quickly increasing cost competitiveness of renewables can plausibly drive a significant decline in global coal demand. The scenarios explored in this report suggest that it is time for governments to begin to implement credible transition policies. A first step for policy makers to manage these uncertainties is through a focused dialogue on the future of the sector in their respective countries.

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