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These working papers are part of workstream 6 on Regional Growth and Development within the Southern Africa – Towards Inclusive Economic Development (SA-TIED) project, a three-year partnership between UNU-WIDER and the South African government aimed at improving understanding of regional value chains and supporting industrialisation in the SADC region. In year one of the project TIPS produced five papers: lessons from ASEAN; an analysis of local content requirements as a non-tariff barrier; and reviews of three value chains: agro-processing machinery, motorcycle parts and the aftermarket industry, and capital equipment for copper processing.

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The Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker was a quarterly index tracking investment spending in the manufacturing sector. It measured investment by manufacturing enterprises in property, plant and equipment, research and development, and human capital. 

TIPS and the Manufacturing Circle collaborated on seminars to share insights from the quarterly survey results, inform policy strategies and facilitate a collaborative policy development process.

Brochure: Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q3 2018 - Summary Findings and Outlook

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q2 2018 - Summary Findings and Outlook

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q2 2018 - Media Statement

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q1 2018 - Summary Findings and Outlook

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q1 2018 - Media Statement

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q4 2017 - Summary Findings and Outlook

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q4 2017 - Media Statement

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q4 2017 - Presentation

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q3 2017

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q3 2017 - Summary Findings and Outlook

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q3 2017 - Media Statement

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q2 2017 - Summary Findings and Outlook

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q1 2017 - Summary Findings and Outlook

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q4 2016

Manufacturing Circle Investment Tracker Q3 2106

The Manufacturing Circle launched its  Map to a Million New Jobs in a Decade on 24 November 2017, a plan to create an environment in which manufacturing in South Africa can thrive and jobs can be created.

Map to a Million New Jobs in a Decade

03 November 2016

Advanced Templates

The second, more advanced, set of indicators differs from the first set in that these templates are fully formulated to produce formatted answers for each indicator. That is to say, the second set of templates not only describe the methods of calculating, but have already been programmed with final results for the 13* SADC countries.

The aim is modest in terms of capacity building by bringing selected trade performance measures to the attention of trade analysts in a learning by doing self-help style so that own applications can be considered.

Go to country:
Angola | Botswana | Democratic Republic of Congo | Lesotho | Malawi | Namibia | Mauritius | Mozambique | South Africa | Swaziland | Tanzania | Zambia | Zimbabwe

Data Source (as) Observation Period  SADC Country  
        HS2 22Chapters
Partner 2004-2008 Angola      
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Reporter 2004-2008 Botswana      
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Partner 2004-2008 Democratic Republic of Congo      
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Partner 2004-2008 Lesotho
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Reporter 2004-2008 Malawi      
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Reporter 2004-2008 Namibia
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Reporter 2004-2008 Mauritius      
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Reporter 2004-2008 Mozambique      
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Reporter 2004-2008 South Africa
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Reporter 2004-2007 Swaziland      
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Reporter 2004-2007 Tanzania      
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Reporter 2004-2008 Zambia      
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download
Reporter 2004-2007 Zimbabwe      
      Growth & Share Download Download
      Market Diversification Download Download
      Product Diversification Download Download
      Intraindustry Download  
      Trade Intensity Download Download

*Templates are not available for Madagascar and the Seychelles

03 November 2016

Basic Templates

This set of templates contains easy-to-follow steps which illustrates the processes and objectives of calculating the following trade and tariff indicators:

  1. Import Intensity Indexes
  2. Export Intensity Indexes
  3. Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA)
  4. Revealed Trade Barriers (RTB)
  5. Intra Industry Trade Indexes and
  6. Tariff Data Profiles

Below are Guides, Examples, Exercises and Solutions for both trade and tariff indicators.

Trade Indicator Guide.pdf 41.44 KB
Trade examples.xls 46 KB
Trade Exercise.xls 56.5 KB
Trade Solutions.xls 216 KB
Tariff Indicator Guide.pdf 26.29 KB
Tariff example.xls 44 KB
Tariff exercise.xls 366 KB
Tariff solutions.xls 4.56 MB

The first set of templates contains easy-to-follow steps which illustrates the processes and objectives of calculating the following trade and tariff indicators:

  1. Import Intensity Indexes
  2. Export Intensity Indexes
  3. Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA)
  4. Revealed Trade Barriers (RTB)
  5. Intra Industry Trade Indexes and
  6. Tariff Data Profiles

These templates are efficient in that they progressively display and examine the steps in calculating the different indicators. They serve as a practical capacity building tool where users can replicate the steps in their own calculations.

To access the basic templates CLICK HERE.

The second, more advanced, set of indicators differs from the first set in that these templates are fully formulated to produce formatted answers for each indicator. That is to say, the second set of templates not only describe the methods of calculating, but have already been programmed with final results for the 13* SADC countries.

The second set of templates include:

  1. Growth & Share measures, including the standard revealed comparative advantage measure
  2. Market diversification measures according to the Hirfindahl and Weighted Spread index
  3. Product diversification measures according to the Hirfindahl and Weighted Spread index
  4. Intra-industry trade measures (only for 2 digit HS aggregation)
  5. Trade Intensity measures
  6. Decomposition of change in global export share according to the International Trade Centre (ITC) approach.

The aim is modest in terms of capacity building by bringing selected trade performance measures to the attention of trade analysts in a learning by doing self-help style so that own applications can be considered.

To access the more advanced templates CLICK HERE.

*Templates are not available for Madagascar and the Seychelles

Useful websites on agriculture

Organisation
Description
General overview of agricultural commodities: Trends / Prices / Consumption/Production
Production, Consumption, Prices on a range of commodities
Futurist Research: Long-run trends with regard to commodities, consumption and market structure
Detailed reports on the size, shape and structure of markets
Production, supply, and distribution of agricultural commodities for the United States and major importing and exporting countries.
Market (defined as a country) information for a particular product The GAIN reports are very useful, providing ‘on-the-ground’ market information.  To access these reports, use the general search engine on the FAS site and type "GAIN"
Agricultural policies to alleviate poverty
Research papers
Promoting small scale agriculture
Commodities and elasticities database
Case studies about improving small scale farmers' agricultural techniques
Large databank of peer-reviewed papers (350,000)
Commodity information
Information about value-added agriculture. 
Sustainable development of tropical and Mediterranean regions.
Small scale agriculture / Creating sustainable activities for small scale farmers
Improving small-scale farmers activities throughout the value-chain
 The CGIAR Virtual Library  is an internet gateway that allows agriculture and development specialists to search an interdisciplinary array of leading databases on agriculture, food policy and the environment.  It enables users to retrieve thousands of full-text documents, abstracts or references from the online libraries of the CGIAR research centres and over 160 other databases. 

Useful papers on general agriculture themes

Title
Author
Fred Gale and Kuo Huang
Mathew Shane and Fred Gale
Fred Gale and Robert Collender
Walter J. Armbruster, Brad Gilmour
Steven Zahniser, Ed Young, and John Wainio
 
Nicholas Minot
Shyamal Chowdhury; Asfaw Negassa; and Maximo Torero
Ashok Gulati, Shenggen Fan and Sara Dalafi. September 2005.
Sudha Narayanan and Ashok Gulati
Eleni Z. Gabre-Madhin and Steven Haggblade
P. V. Srinivasan
Joachim von Braun and R. K. Pachauri
 
Joachim von Braun, Ashok Gulati, et al
 
Fengxia Dong, Frank H. Fuller
Simla Tokgoz, Amani Elobeid
Shyamal Chowdhury; Asfaw Negassa; and Maximo Torero
Fred Gale and Robert Collender
Sophia Huang and Fred Gale

Non-tariff barriers

 
Title
Author
Jean C. Buzby, editor
John C. Beghin
Fred Gale, Bryan Lohmar, and Francis Tuan

 Global food consumption patterns

Title
Author
Anita Regmi
Lorraine Mitchell
Amir Heiman, Bruce McWilliams, and David Zilberman
Fred Gale, Ping Tang, Xianhong Bai, and Huijun Xu
Fred Gale and Kuo Huang

Food markets

 
Title
Author
Anita Regmi and Mark Gehlhar
W. Bruce Traill
J. Michael Harris, Phil Kaufman, Steve Martinez, and Charlene Price

Trade agreements, focusing on agriculture

Title
Author
Mary E. Burfisher (editor)
Gene Hasha
Nancy Cochrane and Ralph Seeley
Steven Zahniser
Steven Zahniser, editor
John Wainio, Shahla Shapouri,Michael Trueblood, and Paul Gibson05
Jacinto F. Fabiosa, John C. Beghin, Fengxia Dong, Amani Elobeid, Frank H. Fuller, Holger Matthey, Simla Tokgoz, Eric Wailes

Global value chains

Title
Author
Pratap S. Birthal, P.K. Joshi, and Ashok Gulati
P. Parthasarathy Rao, P.S. Birthal, P.K. Joshi and D. Kar
Gopinath, Kathleen Mullen, and Ashok Gulati
Pratap S. Birthal1, P. K. Joshi2 and Ashok Gulati2

Market access

Title
Author
Anita Regmi, Mark Gehlhar, John Wainio, Thomas Vollrath, Paul Johnston, and Nitin Kathuria
By John Wainio, Shahla Shapouri, Michael Trueblood, and Paul Gibson
Xinshen Diao, Eugenio Diaz-Bonilla, Sherman Robinson, and David Orden
Chad E. Hart, John C. Beghin
Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, John C. Beghin

Horticulture

Title
Author
Nicholas Minot and Margaret Ngigi
K. Weinberger and T.A. Lumpkin. 2005.
Donna Roberts and Barry Krissoff
USAID
Stanley T Heri

Agro-processing is an increasingly important market access point for agricultural producers. The development of the agro-processing sector thus has significant potential to create opportunities for smaller agricultural producers, thereby supporting the creation of new employment and livelihood opportunities in rural areas. However, market access points are not homogenous from the point of view of smaller producers. Policy needs to incorporate the possibility of the adverse inclusion of smaller producers into established markets. The likelihood of beneficial inclusion outcomes will be enhanced by a stronger focus on net farm income projections for individual producers; farmer cooperatives at the processing level; innovation in the location and structure of agro-processing infrastructure; and better policy co-ordination among the various government actors.

real economy fourth quarter 2015

The Real Economy Bulletin - Fourth Quarter 2015 pdf

In this edition:

Production and sales:  In the past quarter, agricultural output dropped sharply, by 4%, while manufacturing shrank by 0,6%. Mining, however, climbed by 0,4%. Overall, GDP growth slowed significantly compared to the previous quarter.  Read more.

Employment:  After falling fairly steadily from 2008, manufacturing employment levelled out in 2015. Total employment climbed by 700 000 over the year, with the bulk of net new jobs emerging in public, private and domestic services and retail. Still, the global slowdown, drought and pressure on mining and heavy industry led to widespread anticipation of job losses in the coming months, at least in agriculture, mining and metals production.  Read more.

Trends in trade: Over the last quarter, the more competitive currency protected the revenues of manufacturing and mining exporters in rand terms, despite falling volumes. The falling price of petroleum in dollar terms helped relieve the burden of slowing merchandise exports on the balance of trade. Read more.

Profitability and investment: Statistics South Africa's Quarterly Financial Statistics provides information on trends in profitability and capital expenditure in the formal sector outside of agriculture, with information currently available through the third quarter of 2015. Read more.

Behind the trends: The impact of the end of the commodity boom has coincided with a major drought in Southern Africa. These two blows lie behind the slowdown in the South African economy, which worsened in the past quarter. Read more.

Brief: The exchange rate and the real economy: The depreciation of the rand has made manufacturing more competitive. Without it, more mines would have to close down. It results in part from the end of the commodity boom, and in part from an outflow of investment over the past two years. Download: The exchange rate and the real economy

Brief: Decarbonising the economy  risk or opportunity?The commitment made by South Africa to reduce Green House Gas (GHG) emission levels at the December 2015 COP21 negotiations will affect manufacturing and mining in various ways. A key dimension is the impact of the additional cost of electricity (due to the carbon tax) and the costs associated with improvements in the use of energy, imposed by regulatory constraints. Meeting South Africa’s COP21 targets will likely require diversification away from the current dependence on mining exports, which aligns with the core objectives of the Industrial Policy Action Plan. Download: Decarbonising the economy - risk or opportunity?

Engineering News - 09 March 2016

Read more

Potential of the citrus, table grape and subtropical fruit sectors and Opportunities for strategic interventions in support of agro-industrial production

Given the high levels of unemployment in the rural areas of South Africa this research explored the citrus, table grape and subtropical fruit subsectors of agriculture to better understand the potential for them to contribute to export growth, transformation and employment creation. The research finds that certain categories of agriculture are more labour intensive, better suited to South Africa’s climate and have significant potential for export growth. The research also makes a case for agriculture’s central role in growth, transformation and empowerment, advancing an argument that the distinction between agriculture and industry, and between processed and unprocessed primary commodities, is misleading.

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