Presentations
Dr Neva Makgetla (TIPS) – Services in industrial policy
Dr Justin Visagie and Prof Ivan Turok (HSRC/UFS) – The Role of Services in the EconomyReflections on TIPS Working Paper
Services and inclusive industrialisation – Neva Makgetla with Nokwanda Maseko and Itumeleng Mokoena (TIPS)
Background
Industrialisation cannot take off without adequate services such as logistics, engineering, finance and security, as well as human and social capital development. Moreover, the service sector generates around two thirds of the GDP and employment, and six out of seven jobs for women. An effective industrial policy, then, should incorporate measures to maximise the contribution of the service industries to inclusive industrialisation. To assist in understanding the role of the service industries in inclusive industrialisation in South Africa, this Development Dialogue provides a chance to engage on a recent TIPS paper that summarises the main debates around the role of services in industrial policy.
About the Speakers
Chair
Thandi Phele is Chief Director in dtic, sectors branch at the Department of Trade, Industry and Competition (the dtic) and a TIPS board member. Since her appointment, she has been providing thought leadership to South African industrial policy and driving key programmes aimed at industrialisation and localisation. Key among these, she continues to lead the development and implementation of various masterplans led by the dtic: Automotives; Retail-Clothing, Textiles, Footwear and Leather; Poultry; Sugar; Steel and Metal Fabrication; and Furniture.
Presenters
Dr Neva Makgetla is a senior economist at TIPS. Makgetla has published widely on the South African economy and worked for many years in government.
Dr Justin Visagie is a Senior Research Specialist in the Inclusive Economic Development (IED) research programme at the Human Sciences Research Council (HSRC) and University of the Free State (UFS). Dr Visagie has expertise in microeconomic data analysis and has worked on a wide array of cross-sectional and longitudinal household datasets. His recent research projects cover issues of regional economic development, city-region economies, tradable services, spatial inequality and inclusion, social mobility, urbanisation, housing and migration.
Prof Ivan Turok holds the SARChI in City-Region Economies at the University of the Free State and is Distinguished Research Fellow at the HSRC. Prof Turok has extensive international experience of research on city and regional economic development, tradable services, urbanisation, housing, and labour markets.
PROGRAMME
14:30 Opening and welcome by Moderator: Thandi Phele (the dtic)
14:40 – 15:40 Presentations
TIPS Dialogues bring together academics, policymakers, civil society organisations, workers, and practitioners
to discuss important issues and share ideas on industrial policy.
TIPS is partnering with the Department of Trade Industry and Competition (the dtic).
For more information please contact TIPS via email at: daphney@tips.org.za
The Development Dialogue will be held in a hybrid format allowing for both in-person
and virtual participation. The in-person event will be held at the TIPS Offices
(234 Lange Street, Nieuw Muckleneuk, Pretoria) - space is limited
Opening and welcome by Moderator: Saul levin
Presentations
Nokwanda Maseko (TIPS) – Findings from the Imports Localisation and Supply Chain Disruption Study
Dr Neva Makgetla (TIPS) – Localisation and industrial policy
Dr Tebogo Makube (the dtic) – Presentation to the TIPS localisation Development Dialogue
Media
South Africa 'missed the boat' on some localisation opportunities, but higher value industries can be pursued
Article by Natasha Odendaal, Engineering News 29 August 2023
Research
Localisation and industrial policy: Scopes, debates and instruments - Neva Makgetla (TIPS)
TIPS Imports localisation and supply chain disruption study Fourth Quarter 2022 - Nokwanda Maseko (TIPS)
The Imports localisation and supply chain disruption study is published quarterly: copies available here.
Background
Localisation has increasingly come to the fore in South Africa’s industrial policy initiatives, including all of the published Master Plans except agriculture. It effectively uses trends in imports to signal when demand could support competitive local production. This Development Dialogue provides a chance to engage on the latest evidence on the effectiveness of localisation strategies in easing constraints faced by local producers when competing with foreign suppliers. To that end, it draws on recent TIPS papers that review the conceptual framework for localisation and identify goods that South Africa now imports but could possibly manufacture competitively.
TIPS Dialogues bring together academics, policymakers, civil society organisations, workers, and practitioners to discuss important issues and share ideas on industrial policy. TIPS is partnering with the Department of Trade Industry and Competition (the dtic).
The Development Dialogue will be held in a hybrid format allowing for both in-person and virtual participation.
The in-person event will be held at the TIPS Offices (234 Lange Street, Nieuw Muckleneuk, Pretoria) - space is limited.
For more information please contact TIPS via email at: daphney@tips.org.za
About the Speakers
Nokwanda Maseko is a senior economist at TIPS and has previously worked as a Budget Analyst at National Treasury and an Assistant Director at the Economic Development Department (EDD) focused on industrial policy.
Dr Neva Makgetla is a senior economist at TIPS. Makgetla has published widely on the South African economy and worked for many years in government.
Dr Tebogo Makube is Chief Director: Industrial Procurement at the dtic. Before joining the dtic, Dr Makube was the Programme Manager: Fiscal Policy at the Financial and Fiscal Commission. Prior to that he was Director: Provincial Infrastructure at the National Treasury. He has also held research and management positions at the Gauteng Provincial Legislature, National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) and Nokusa Consulting. He is also a Board Member of Proudly South African.
Presentations
A Framework For Financing Investments in A Just Transition - Sandy Lowit, TIPS Research Fellow
A Transition for Whom? - Anda David, Senior Researcher Agence Francaise de Development (AFD)
Research
Full Report with Annexures: A Just Transition Transaction Framework: A Framework for Financing Investments in a Just Transition
This report has been made possible by the support of the African Climate Foundation and the European Climate Foundation.
Media
TIPS sets out to create a South Africa-focused Just Transition Transaction Framework - Engineering News 21 August 2023
Launch
Opening - Gaylor Montmasson Clair, Senior Economist, TIPS
Welcome - by Shameela Soobramoney, CEO, National Business Initiative (NBI)
A Just Transition Transaction Framework: A First Iteration - Sandy Lowitt, Research Fellow, TIPS
Challenges and Questions faced by the Project Management Unit in the possible future allocation of JETP funding - Neil Cole, JEPT Project Management Unit
Insights on project and investment selection taking social outcomes into account - Anda David, Senior Researcher, AFD
Anglo American’s Approach to the Just Energy Transition - Hermien Botes Head of Sustainability Relations Anglo American
Presentations
A Framework For Financing Investments in A Just Transition - Sandy Lowit, TIPS Research Fellow
A Transition for Whom? - Anda David, Senior Researcher Agence Francaise de Development (AFD)
Research
Full Report with Annexures: A Just Transition Transaction Framework: A Framework for Financing Investments in a Just Transition
This report has been made possible by the support of the African Climate Foundation and the European Climate Foundation.
Background
The South African Just Transition Financing discourse has been dominated by issues of global north and local private sector fund mobilisation and the unlocking of existing funding commitments. More recently, researchers and decision makers have been thinking about the deployment of such funds (when and if) they begin to flow. Just Transition fund deployment will require decision making about capital allocation to projects and investments. In order to achieve this, decision-makers will need to have a method by which to test what will constitute a Just Transition Transaction and how to rank just transition transactions against each other.
The launch of TIPS’s research on a Just Transition Transaction Framework: A First Iteration introduced the content of the framework and the process for improving the framework overtime through learning by doing and evidence collection and analysis. The first iteration of the framework will be continuously improved through testing, evidence gathering and analysis and further iterations will be developed to increase acceptability and applicability with an evolving set of stakeholders. TIPS events bring together academics, policymakers, civil society organisations, workers, and practitioners to discuss important issues and share ideas on industrial policy.
About the speakers
Gaylor Montmasson-Clair is a Senior Economist at TIPS. He leads TIPS's work on sustainability and just transition. He is the Facilitator for the South African Renewable Energy Masterplan (SAREM), the industrialisation plan for South Africa’s renewable energy value chain. Gaylor is also a Research Associate at the University of Johannesburg’s Centre for Competition, Regulation and Economic Development (CCRED).
Shameela Soobramoney is the CEO of the National Business Initiative (NBI), an independent coalition of the local and multinational businesses focusing on taking action to achieve social and environmental sustainability underpinned by good governance. She joined the NBI in 2023. She was previously the Chief Sustainability Officer of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (the JSE) As a sustainability specialist she has, inter alia, been a key contributor to the JSE’s work into climate change, the potential for a local market to trade in carbon credits and environment-related products, the development of a Green, Social and Sustainability bonds framework, impact investing, the JSE’s sustainability, innovation and CSI strategies as well as the annual sustainability investor briefing/showcase sessions.
Sandy Lowitt is a Research Fellow at TIPS. She has worked in the Provincial and National Government in matters related to Industrial Strategy and policy, as well as economic infrastructure projects such as the Gautrain. She is currently active in the Just Transition Finance space.
Neil Cole is Finance Manager at the JETP Project Management Unit. He has more than 20 years professional experience in the field of Public Finance and international financial relations. Between 2001 and 2013 he worked for the National Treasury of South Africa in senior management positions in the Budget Office and in the International Economic Policy divisions. While at the Treasury, Neil represented South Africa on the committees that drafted the Accra Agenda for Action and the Busan Partnership for Effective Development Co-operation. He currently teaches a course on public finance for social protection at the International Training Centre of the ILO. Neil joined the JETP Secretariat in July 2022. His undergraduate and post-graduate qualifications cover public administration/policy, politics.
Anda David is a senior researcher and the lead economist on inequality at the French Development Agency (AFD). She holds a PhD from Paris Dauphine University, specialising in development economics, with a focus on migration and labour markets. Her current research is centred on inequality and sustainability. Between 2004 and 2015, she regularly collaborated with various international organisations active on these issues such as OECD, ILO and World Bank. Anda David joined AFD’s research division in December 2015 and is currently the scientific coordinator of the AFD-EU Research Facility on Inequality. Since January 2021, she is based at the AFD regional bureau for Southern Africa in Johannesburg.
Hermien Botes is Head of Sustainability Engagement for Anglo American where she has worked for the past 15 years in various sustainability roles including human rights, strategy, ESG reporting and systems. Hermien’s current role involves engagement with civil society, human rights and two special projects – gender-based violence and the just energy transition. In late 2019, Hermien led the launch of Anglo American’s Living with Dignity programme, which includes a comprehensive suite of initiatives to tackle sexual and gender-based violence in mines and mining communities. Hermien was also a co-author of Anglo American’s Sustainable Mining Plan – now in its fifth year of implementation.
PRESENTATION
CBAM in Africa: A challenge and an opportunity - Seutame Maimele, TIPS Economist: Sustainable Growth
RESEARCH
TIPS Policy Brief: The European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism and implications for South African exports - by Lerato Monaisa and Seutame Maimele
MEDIA
Media article: SA's low carbon taxes will send money to EU coffers - Denene Erasmus, Business Day 27 July 2023
Background
The Development Dialogue provides a chance to explore the latest evidence in Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) from the global south. CBAM is a carbon border tax on embedded GHGs of carbon-intensive products imported into the European Union (EU). In 2019, the (EU) introduced the Fit for 55 policy package. The policy package aims to reduce the EU’s net greenhouse gas emissions by 55% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels and achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. Included in the policy package is the CBAM.
As of the 16th of May 2023, the regulation on CBAM was finally published in the official journal of the European Union, after it was finally adopted as law on the 10th of May 2023. The adoption of CBAM and CBAM like measures will have an impact on the global south countries. These measures will not only disrupt global trade flows, but they will also divert climate change responsibilities to the global south, and impact welfare of these economies.
This dialogue will focus on issues that arise from the introduction of these green trade (climate change) policies, specifically looking into CBAM, and how global south countries (including BRICS) can respond to these issues.
About the Speakers
Moderator
Gaylor Montmasson-Clair is a Senior Economist at Trade & Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS). He leads TIPS's work on sustainability and just transition. He is the Facilitator for the South African Renewable Energy Masterplan (SAREM), the industrialisation plan for South Africa’s renewable energy value chain.
Presenters
Seutame Maimele is a Sustainable Growth Economist and a Research lead on Climate Change and Trade at Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS).
Max Gruenig is a Senior Policy Advisor at the E3G Washington Office, focusing on US-EU climate diplomacy in a global context.
Panellists
Prof. David Luke is a professor in practice and strategic director at the Firoz Lalji Institute for Africa. Specialising in African trade policy and trade negotiations.
Kekeletso Mashigo is an admitted attorney of the High Court of South Africa. She is currently Counsellor Economic and Legal at the Permanent Mission of South Africa to the WTO in Geneva, Switzerland, representing South Africa in various WTO Committees. Prior to that she was Head of Legal in the South African Department of Trade, Industry and Competition’s (the dtic) Trade Policy Division, responsible for legal opinions and disputes on international trade and investment issues. She has occupied various roles and was also previously Director: Multilateral Organisations at the dtic; seconded by the dtic as an Investment Expert to the Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development’s (OECD) Investment Division; responsible for SA-EU Trade relations; and has also worked at South Africa’s National Treasury in the Legal Tax Design Unit focused on international and business tax policy.
For enquiries please contact Natasha@tips.org.za
TIPS Dialogues bring together academics, policymakers, civil society organisations, workers, and practitioners to
discuss important issues and share ideas on industrial policy.
TIPS is partnering with the Department of Trade Industry and Competition (the dtic).
TIPS Development Dialogues 2023
Small Business in the Economy
Thursday 1 June 2023
PRESENTATIONS
Presentation: Small Business Sector - Real Economy Bulletin 2010-2022Q4 - Lesego Moshikaro, TIPS
Presentation: Small business in industrial policy - Dr Neva Makgetla, TIPS
RESEARCH
The Real Economy Bulletin: The State of Small Business in South Africa 2023
Research Paper: Small business in industrial policy - Dr Neva Makgetla, TIPS
MEDIA
Media article: Small business lagging in South Africa - Tasneem Bulbulia, Engineering News
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TIPS Development Dialogues 2023 Monday 24 April 2023 |
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PRESENTATIONS AND PAPERS Presentation: Metals and Engineering Sector Load Shedding Impact Assessment - Tafadzwa Chibanguza, SEIFSA Paper: SEIFSA Load Shedding Impact Assessment on the Metals and Engineering Sector Presentation: Impact of loadshedding on municipal finances and services survey - Dr Silas Mulaudzi, Salga Presentation: Loadshedding and industrial policy - Dr Neva Makgetla, TIPS MEDIA Media article: Loadshedding hindering industrialisation - Tasneem Bulbulia, Engineering News Media article: Consider competing interests in transition to green energy, experts urge - Michelle Gumede, Business Day Background The energy emergency has placed immense pressure on energy systems, including the national grid, to exacerbate an already fragile South African economy. while further breaking the trust in the national government. The consequences therefore increase the fiscal pressure on all sectors of business but more especially small businesses which have been left more vulnerable. While South Africa has a vibrant small business sector, more work needs to be done to empirically understand the impact of loadshedding on enterprises. From limited research it has shown that small business owners have had to work longer hours, work different hours, lose potential sales, or produce less of their products. These all impact on profitability and the viability of firms. The cumulative impact across the economy has an overall negative outcome for economic growth and job creation. The concern is that the loadshedding has held back much needed economic growth and stronger recovery as we move out of COVID. The fragility of the grid means Eskom is just not meeting the needs of the economy and requires that firms find mitigation strategies and alternatives. More needs to be done – landlords, municipalities, and industrial sites should all be looking at long-term solutions to move off the grid and supply as much of their own electricity as possible through renewable energy. The available evidence shows that it is cost effective to do so and TIPS is doing further research to confirm that. There are increasingly also finance options and companies that are offering renewable solutions. The challenge is also for bigger enterprises or high-energy consumers who are also exploring alternatives to cope with the current situation. This Development Dialogue will unpack how industrial policy can assist all businesses to stay resilient. It will explore the real cost of electricity and diesel, how the communities on the ground are impacted, alternative solutions to working off the grid, rolling out solar energy and other renewable energy sources, and how the different sectors can build for resilience in spite of the Eskom reality. Agenda Opening and welcome by chairperson: Saul Levin Presentations and discussion: Tafadzwa Chibanguza: SEIFSA - Load Shedding Impact Assessment on the Metals and Engineering Sector Dr Silas Mulaudzi: Salga - Impact of loadshedding on municipal finances and services survey Dr Neva Makgetla: The economy and the energy emergency Discussion and Closure About the Speakers Neva Makgetla is a senior economist at TIPS. Makgetla has published widely on the South African economy and worked for many years in government. Tafadzwa Chibanguza is Chief Operating Officer at SEIFSA. Previously, he worked as an Economist at the Minerals Council South Africa, as a Senior Economist at SEIFSA and a Technical Wealth and Investment Analyst at Rand Merchant Bank. In the mining and metal sectors his broad focus areas include formulation of mineral, industrial policy, and micro/macro-economic impact assessment modelling. Dr Silas Mulaudzi is a Specialist at SALGA responsible for Sustainable Energy. He has more than 15 years’ work experience in the energy sector at a local and national government. He has previously worked for the Department of Energy as a Deputy Director responsible for Grid-Connected Renewable Energy and City of Tshwane Metropolitan Municipality as a Deputy Director responsible for Energy and Environment. Neva Makgetla is a senior economist at TIPS. Makgetla has published widely on the South African economy and worked for many years in government. The Development Dialogue brings together academics, policymakers, civil society organisations, workers and practitioners to discuss these issues and share ideas on the way forward. TIPS is partnering with the Department of Trade, Industry and Competition (the dtic). For more information, please contact TIPS via email to: buhle@tips.org.za |
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About the Development Dialogue Seminar Series The objective of the seminar series is to provide a platform to share views and ideas on development and policy issues. These seminars are geared towards individuals that are involved the policy development process. To access the presentations of seminars which have already taken place, visit the TIPS website Dialogue section. This Development Dialogue will be held in a hybrid format allowing for both in-person and virtual participation. |
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