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Janet Wilhelm

Engineering News

Climate change is increasingly recognised as one of the defining issues of the 21st century, drawing all elements of society towards the promotion of a prosperous, low carbon future. Even in times of economic recession, climate change has not fallen off the radar, with many major economies rather viewing 'green' led investment as an engine for economic recovery.

South Africa has become increasingly involved in addressing climate change issues, from our involvement in international climate negotiations, the modelling of potential mitigation scenarios under the Long Term Mitigation Scenarios (LTMS) process, and the current development of a national Climate Change White Paper. A significant amount of work has also been done to consider the direct impacts of climate change on the South African environment, including physical impacts related to higher temperatures, sea level rise, increased risk of wild fire and concerns over future water availability.

Despite these efforts, less emphasis has been placed on the indirect impacts of climate change, including how industry could be affected by shifts in consumer preferences, how the evolving carbon regulation environment in South Africa might affect industry, and how business and the economy as a whole should respond to these challenges.

To address this gap, research is currently underway that considers the indirect effects that climate change could have on South Africa's economy, ranging from impacts on the tourism sector, aviation and food exports, through to commercial opportunities in low carbon technologies and the promotion of alternative carbon markets. The project is being led by Camco, an international consulting firm specialising in climate change solutions, in partnership with Trade and Industrial Policy and Strategies (TIPS) and the ComMark Trust, with support provided by the British High Commission.

As part of the project, a stakeholder workshop including representatives from the private sector, national and local government, non-governmental organisations and the donor community is to take place in Sandton in mid-August, in order to discuss and debate the economic risks and opportunities posed by climate change for South Africa. Key questions to be discussed at the multi-stakeholder workshop include:

  • What commercial risks and opportunities do companies face from climate change?
  • How can we address these issues?
  • How will 'air miles' and the demand for low carbon goods impact South African manufacturing and exports?
  • Is the tourism sector adequately prepared for pressures to promote 'local tourism' within industrialised nations?
  • What opportunities are presented for trade in environmental services by climate change, including through land use improvements and carbon sequestration?
  • How can industry respond to a carbon tax regime in South Africa, and are there alternatives?
  • How can we fast-track activities that combat climate change and promote poverty alleviation and socio-economic development?

The research underway is premised on the understanding that climate change is not just an environmental issue, but could have significant implications for trade, investment and industry competitiveness. South Africa is a carbon intensive economy, and is therefore exposed to a number of potential climate change related liabilities. Nevertheless, risk is often the precursor of opportunity, and considerable scope exists for the South African economy to shift these potential liabilities into market enablers, as the LTMS and other studies have begun to explore.

The research will help to take the climate debate in South Africa forward, identifying economic opportunities presented by climate change and exploring synergies with national priorities relating to job creation, enterprise development and poverty alleviation. The notion of 'green jobs' has come increasingly to the fore in recent years, and highlights that a number of national efforts to address climate change could promote economic growth as well as support environmental protection.
Across the globe, companies are exploring opportunities in low carbon development in a bid to differentiate themselves and maintain market share. Effectively positioned, the South African economy could weather any severe 'climatic' storms, whilst maximising on commercial opportunities and new markets.

For media enquiries please contact:

Alex McNamara Camco South Africa
Tel: (0)11 253 3400 Cell: (0)79 699 3284 Email: alex.mcnamara@camcoglobal.com
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Most economics curricula deal with macroeconomic tools for studying the economy as a whole and microeconomic tools for studying the behaviour of individual agents or markets. However, practical public and private sector economic analysts often need an economy-wide focus that combines the macroeconomics of the economy as a whole with structural detail that permits analysis of impacts at the sector or household level and of the consequences of interactions amongst them.

Economic modelling techniques that capture economy-wide impacts of policy changes are increasingly being used in academic, consulting, research and policy environments. Input-output (IO) and social accounting matrix (SAM) analysis are used on a regular basis to analyse the impact of policy-related and other changes on the economy. Computable general equilibrium (CGE) models build on these techniques to allow for a wide range of behavioural responses and interactions. Both these approaches have been extended to address broader concerns, such as the impact of policy on the environment or on energy requirements.
These techniques were once the preserve of a handful of leading theoreticians. The IT revolution has allowed them to become part of the practical economist's everyday toolkit. In 2001 Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS) started (co-)presenting introductory workshops to cater for the rising demand for these techniques, since when it has held eight workshops on Economy-Wide Policy Impact Analysis. These have laid the foundation for participation in workshops introducing CGE modelling, of which TIPS has run seven. In addition, TIPS has conducted several advanced modelling workshops. These workshops have contributed to the development of a community of builders and users of economy-wide models in Southern Africa.
In 2010 TIPS will be holding a workshop combining both Economy-Wide Policy Impact Analysis and CGE modelling. The workshop will be structured so that participants can select whether to attend the whole workshop, to complete only that part dealing with Economy-Wide Policy Impact Analysis or, if they have the background, to attend only the latter part dealing with CGE models.
The workshop is designed and presented by academics and experts in the field of economy-wide policy modelling. It integrates theory, real world data, hands-on computer work and real world application.
In the first component of the workshop, participants will
·         be introduced to actual input output tables, supply-use tables and social accounting matrices;
·         learn how to develop and interpret various impact multipliers based on these tables;
·         extend the use of the approaches to examine, for example, indirect energy demand, cost push inflation and supply bottlenecks.
These applications will all be developed in Excel.
In Part II, participants will
·         review the micro, macro and trade theories underlying typical CGE models;
·         be given an overview of parameter and elasticity estimation methods which typically provide the data on which CGEs are built;
·         be exposed to issues involved in using models for specific applications, such as the analysis of trade, public finance, regulation and environmental economics; and
·         present a mini-project analysing a real world issue using the techniques they have learned.
The applications use materials developed by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and adapted by the workshop instructors to suit Southern African economies. The models are run in GAMS, a programming language widely used in economy-wide policy modelling, to which participants will be introduced.
The workshop is targeted at those who wish to develop professional expertise in the area, as well as those who need to understand the potential and limitations of the use of these approaches without themselves becoming modellers. As such it should appeal to policy-makers and analystsin both the public and the private sectors, as well as to students and academics.
No previous exposure to the techniques is assumed, although participants without proven knowledge of the techniques covered in part I will not be admitted directly into part II. The techniques covered are numerically oriented and, while only basic mathematical skills are needed, the workshop will not appeal to those who prefer general discussion of issues to focussed analysis and measurement.
 
Fees and Applications
Fees for attending Part I are R6,000 and for Part II R14,000. Participants attending the combined course will receive a 10% discount. These fees exclude VAT (where applicable) but include teas and lunches during the workshop and transfers to and from O R Tambo International airport. For participants outside SADC the rates are R7,500 and R17,500 respectively with the same 10% discount applicable. Participants are responsible for their own travel and accommodation costs. TIPS can recommend guest houses to participants, but it will be their responsibility to make bookings.
Applications for participation should be sent to denves@xtra.co.nz and should be accompanied by a completed form (see below) stating background and reason for participation. Places are limited and will be allocated to qualified applicants on a first come first served basis. In the event of the workshop being over subscribed, applicants for the combined course will be given preference.
Applications should be received by February 7, 2010. Successful applicants will be notified and invoiced by February 14, 2010. Payment will be due by February 28, failing which reserved places will be offered to other applicants.
 
Workshop Program
Part I of the course will start at 08.30 on Monday 15 March 2010 and run for three days, ending at 17:00 on Wednesday 17 March. Part II will start at 8.30 on Thursday 18 March and run for 8 days, including Saturday 20 March. It will end at 13.00 on Friday 26 March.
 
Part I
Monday 15 March:                Introduction to Input Output Tables. Standard and extended IO multiplier Analysis
Tuesday 16 March:               IO pricing model: analysis of cost push inflation. Supply constraints.
Wednesday, 17 March:        Supply Use Tables and Multipliers. Social Accounting Matrices and Multipliers.
Part II
Thursday 18 March:              Introduction to Computable General Models. Modelling with GAMS.
Friday 19 March:                   Modelling with intermediate goods
Saturday 20 March:              Simple macroeconomic closure rules
Monday 22 March:                Modelling factor markets
Tuesday 23 March:               Modelling government. Modelling trade and the external account
Wednesday 24 March:         Using the IFPRI standard model
Thursday 25 March:              Applying the IFPRI model. Mini-projects.
Friday 26 March:                   Presentation of mini-projects. Moving forward.
 

Applications for participation should be sent to denves@xtra.co.nz and should be accompaniedby a completed application form (click on link below).

Download application form.

 

15 January 2008

Annual Report 2008

05 December 2009

IP Biblio request item

 

Announcement of the SADRN Researchers Workshop
 
Date: 16 – 18 November 2009
 
Venue: Premier Hotel, Pretoria, South Africa
 
The Southern African Development Research Network (SADRN) was launched in August 2007 as a broad-based policy and research network. The project is funded by the International Development Research Centre (IDRC) and managed by Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS). It was initiated with the purpose of capacity building with specific focus on research in the southern and eastern African region as well as to strengthen evidence-based policy-making.
The objectives of the project are as follows:
  • To increase the supply of policy-relevant research in SADC by creating a pool of suitably-skilled researchers based in institutions in SADC;
  • To improve the policy-relevance of research through growing the capacity of policy-makers to be discerning research users;
  • To develop an appreciation of evidence-based policy making by engaging policy-makers in the design, specification, implementation and review of research projects; and
  • To build institutional capacity in key organizations in SADC by creating centres of excellence in focused thematic areas of research.
The project has been implemented through three thematic working areas that span issues which are of immediate importance in SADC (industrial policy), of recent importance but likely reduced importance in the short term (trade policy) and of significant importance in the future but not currently high on policy-makers' agendas (services sector development). The project is implemented by regional institutions, with the Botswana Institute for Development and Policy Analysis (BIDPA) responsible for the trade and poverty thematic working group and the University of Mauritius, which implements the services sector development theme. TIPS is also responsible for the research coordination of the industrial policy theme.
 
Several activities and events have been held under the SADRN project since its inception.  
 
Some of them include the Industrial Policy Inception Workshop in South Africa, Industrial Policy Training in Botswana, Training on Trade and Poverty in Botswana as well as the launching of the Services Sector Development theme in Mauritius. During these activities, more than a dozen southern and eastern African countries participated and the participants were from various sectors, including governments, research organisations, academic institutions and regional institutions. There were also internationally renowned instructors from institutions such as the World Bank (USA), TUFTS University (USA) Centre for Research on the Economics of Institutions (Italy) and Universidad Nacional de General Sarmiento (Argentina).
 
Some of the participants who have been involved in these events are now involved in research on those three thematic areas, and have reached an advanced stage in their studies. The purpose of the Workshop of November 16 -18th will be to provide a platform for researchers to present their research outcomes and also strategise around the way forward for the project and regional research agenda.
 
For more information and details on the workshop, contact Mmatlou Kalaba at mmatlou@tips.org.za or Tanya Claassen at Tanya@tips.org.za

 

SADRN contributed to some of regional integration efforts through a particular initiative by coordinating industrial policy workshop in South Africa on September�Â� 9 - 10, 2008. The initiative was closely linked to some of SADC's regional goals encompassed in the Regional Indicative Strategic Development Programme and the broader vision of a "common future"�Â� as well as�Â� the on-going development of regional industrial policy framework by the SADC Secretariat. The workshop provided the first steps to facilitate research, discussions and debates between the research community, policy makers and other relevant stakeholders in the area of industrial policy in the SADC region. The workshop engaged a number of policy makers and researchers across a range of SADC countries and was facilitated by Prof. Carlo Pietrobelli.

For more information on the workshop, a full report is available for download below.

The "Services Sector Development" Thematic Working Group was launched on the 18th of June 2009 at La Pirogue hotel in Mauritius. The launch was coupled with a workshop on the same theme, whereby participants from several ESA countries discussed on potential and prospective research on the theme. SADRN has earmarked 11 studies around the theme to be funded under the "Services Sector Development" theme. The Coordinator for this theme is Mr Sawkut Rojid who is a lecturer at the University.

Participants were mainly researchers from Namibia, Botswana, Uganda and Mauritius. The SADRN Network Coordinator was also in attendance as well as the entire coordinating team for the "Service Sector Development" TWG.�Â� �Â�  There resource person for the launch workshop was Dr Tabitha Kiriti from the School of Economics at University of Nairobi, Kenya. She specialises in International Economics, Development Economics and Macroeconomics. She has also published in more than 30 journal articles in these fields, including trade in service research.

Four research proposals were presented and discussed at the workshop. Although five proposals have been considered, one researcher could not attend the launch workshop due to other commitments. The titles of those proposals are given below as follows:

  • 1. Prospects for the establishment of an education hub: The case of Botswana
  • 2. Railway Sub-Sector Contribution to Poverty Alleviation in Namibia
  • 3. Services Sector Development in Uganda: An Analysis of the Role of the Financial Services Sector
  • 4. Services Sector Development: A Key to Poverty Alleviation and Sustainable Development in Mauritius

The official launch was taken seriously and respected by the University and Faculty Management. The Dean of the Faculty of Law and Management, Associate Professor Jawaheer was present at the launch and he had the opening remarks.�Â�  The two Vice Chancellors of the UoM, Prof. Ghurib-Fakim and Prof. Rughooputh were also in attendance. Prof. Ghurib-Fakim was given an opportunity to speak on behalf of UoM. He praised the Launch of SADRN TWG on "Services sector Development" as a sign of confidence in the UoM and�Â�  thought that the contribution of such an initiative to the University, young researchers as well as regional integration in Eastern and Southern Africa will be immeasurable. Both speakers were full of praises for the initiative, but especially for International Development Research Centre (IDRC) for providing the funding and opportunities for young researchers to get exposure on these issues.

Launch photo

Names, from left to right:

Mr Mmatlou Kalaba, TIPS Trade Economist and SADRN Network Coordinator; Prof Rughooputh Sunil, Acting Vice Chancellor of the University of Mauritius; Prof Ameenah Ghurib-Fakim, Pro Vice Chancellor, Teaching and Learning and Mr Sawkut Rojid, lecturer at the University and Services Sector Development Theme Coordinator.

Johan Fourie

Tourism from a Trade Perspective: Sources of Comparative Advantages and Implications for South Africa and the Region

About Johan Fourie

Johan Fourie is lecturer in the Department of Economics at Stellenbosch University.  Johan is currently pursuing his PhD in Economic History at Utrecht University.  His interests are wide ranging and include not only trade in services but also South Africa's economic history, infrastructure and the Economics of Sport.  Johan's latest publications include "An application of attractiveness measures to evaluate the structure of the Currie Cup" in South African Journal for Research in Sport, Physical Education and Recreation, forthcoming and "A note on infrastructure quality in South Africa" in Development Southern Africa, Vol. 25, No. 4, October 2008.  In 2008 he participated to the TIPS Annual Forum and presented on "The Development and Importance of Travel Service Exports from South Africa".

About Wamkele Mene

Wamkele Mene holds the position of Director: Trade in Services at the International Trade & Economic Development Division of the dti.  He focuses on multilateral, bilateral and regional trade in services negotiations. As South Africa's Lead Negotiator on services trade, Wamkele provides strategic and policy leadership in all trade in services negotiations that South Africa is involved in. An integral part of Wamkele's work is the crafting and negotiation of favourable market access conditions for South African exporters of services.  He is a graduate of Rhodes University, the University of Detroit Mercy and the Centre for International Studies & Diplomacy at the University of London.

About Professor Melville Saayman

Professor Saayman is at the School of Business Management in the Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences at North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus.  He is an expert in Tourism Economics and in Tourism management and development.  Professor Saayman is Director of the Institute of Tourism and Leisure Studies

(see http://www.tourisminstitute.co.za/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=2&Itemid=2).

Dr. Neil Rankin

What Do We Know About South African Exporters From Micro-Data?

About Dr. Rankin:

Dr Neil Rankin is a Senior Lecturer and the founding Director of the African Microeconomics Research Umbrella (AMERU) in the School of Economic and Business Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand (Wits).

Dr Rankin obtained his doctorate from the Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford in 2005 and has, since then, been based at Wits.  His research interests are in the field of applied microeconomics. These include: the links between firm performance and labour market outcomes; the impact of trade on firms and workers; the microeconomic aspects of inflation and pricing; and the determinants of educational outcomes.  Much of this research is based on primary data that he has been involved in collecting, both in South Africa and a number of other African countries.

Dr Rankin's recent publications include: "South African Exporting Firms: What Do We Know and What Should We Know", Journal of Development Perspectives, 4 (1): 93-118 with Edwards, L. and Schoer, V. (2008) and "Price setting in South Africa 2001 to 2007 - stylised facts using consumer price micro data", Journal of Development Perspectives, 4 (1): 93-118 with Creamer, K. (2008).

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